The Foreclosure Situation

*The Foreclosure Situation*
**By Tony Garritano**

TonyG***What’s going on with the foreclosure situation these days? It’s actually improving. According to CoreLogic, foreclosures are down 33% as compared to one year ago. CoreLogic released its August National Foreclosure Report with a supplement featuring quarterly shadow inventory data as of July 2013, and here’s what it said:

****According to CoreLogic analysis:

****>> There were 48,000 completed foreclosures in the U.S. in August of 2013, down from 72,000 in August 2012, a year-over-year decrease of 34 percent. On a month-over-month basis, completed foreclosures increased 1.3 percent, from 47,000 in July 2013.

****>> Overall residential shadow inventory, as of July 2013, was 1.9 million homes, accounting for a value of $293 billion, representing a supply of 3.7 months. This was down 22 percent from a year ago, when it was at 2.4 million; and down 38 percent from its peak in 2010, when it reached 3 million homes.

****As a basis of comparison to the 48,000 completed foreclosures reported for August 2013, prior to the decline in the housing market in 2007, completed foreclosures averaged 21,000 per month nationwide between 2000 and 2006. Completed foreclosures are an indication of the total number of homes actually lost to foreclosure. Since the financial crisis began in September 2008, there have been approximately 4.5 million completed foreclosures across the country.

****As of August 2013, approximately 939,000 homes in the U.S. were in some stage of foreclosure, known as the foreclosure inventory, compared to 1.4 million in August 2012, a year-over-year decrease of 33 percent. Month over month, the foreclosure inventory was down 3.2 percent from August 2013 to July 2013. The foreclosure inventory as of August 2013 represented 2.4 percent of all homes with a mortgage compared to 3.3 percent in August 2012.

****At the end of August 2013, there were approximately 2.1 million mortgages, or 5.3 percent, in serious delinquency (SDQ, defined as 90 days or more past due, including those loans in foreclosure or real estate owned, REO). The rate of seriously delinquent mortgages is at its lowest level since December 2008.

****“The foreclosure inventory continues to improve, as exhibited by these recent numbers,” said Dr. Mark Fleming, chief economist for CoreLogic. “A surge in completed foreclosures and a rise in the foreclosure inventory is unlikely given continued house price improvements and shortages of supply in many markets.”

****“Over the past year, the value of the U.S. shadow inventory dropped by $87 billion—a sign of increased normalcy in the housing market,” said Anand Nallathambi, president and CEO of CoreLogic. “With a year-over-year decrease of 22 percent in July, the shadow inventory has now declined steadily for 10 consecutive months.”

****Foreclosure Highlights:

****>> The five states with the highest number of completed foreclosures for the 12 months ending in August 2013 were: Florida (111,000), Michigan (60,000), California (58,000), Texas (43,000) and Georgia (40,000). These five states accounted for almost half of all completed foreclosures nationally.

****>> The five states with the lowest number of completed foreclosures for the 12 months ending in August 2013 were: District of Columbia (94), North Dakota (463), Hawaii (492), West Virginia (501) and Wyoming (723).

****>> The five states with the highest foreclosure inventory as a percentage of all mortgaged homes were: Florida (7.9 percent), New Jersey (6.2 percent), New York (4.9 percent), Maine (4.0 percent) and Connecticut (3.9 percent).

****>> The five states with the lowest foreclosure inventory as a percentage of all mortgaged homes were: Wyoming (0.4 percent), Alaska (0.6 percent), North Dakota (0.7 percent), Nebraska (0.7 percent) and Colorado (0.7 percent).

Tony Garritano
Tony Garritano is chairman and founder at PROGRESS in Lending Association. As a speaker Tony has worked hard to inform executives about how technology should be a tool used to further business objectives. For over 10 years he has worked as a journalist, researcher and speaker in the mortgage technology space. Starting this association was the next step for someone like Tony, who has dedicated his career to providing mortgage executives with the information needed to make informed technology decisions. He can be reached via e-mail at tony@progressinlending.com.