Veros Real Estate Solutions (Veros), a provider of enterprise risk management, collateral valuation services and predictive analytics, reports that residential market values will continue their overall upward trends during the next 12 months, with overall annual forecast appreciation of +4.2% which is higher than last quarter’s forecast appreciation of +4.0%. And, only 3% of markets are expected to depreciate, which is the same as last quarter’s forecast.
This insight comes from the company’s most recent VeroFORECAST, a quarterly national real estate market forecast for the 12-month period ending December 1, 2018.
“Our Q4 VeroFORECAST is continuing to show the market as very strong for the overall U.S. residential real estate market,” says Eric Fox, VP of Statistical and Economic Modeling at Veros. “Washington State is set to boom– occupying all of the Top 5 market spots. This has never happened before with one state occupying all of the top positions. Seattle is #1 with expected appreciation of over 12% followed by other Washington markets of Bellingham, Bremerton, Kennewick, and Mount Vernon all near 10%. These markets show no signs of letting up as supply of homes is exceedingly low and population continues to grow.”
Fox continues, “Metro areas in Colorado, Idaho, Oregon, and Washington comprise the remaining metro areas in the Top 10. If you want strong appreciation, move to the Northwest portion of the U.S. “
Conversely, 12 of the bottom 25 markets are in the Northeastern states of Connecticut, New Jersey, Maine, West Virginia, Maryland, Pennsylvania, and New York. Bangor, Maine is forecast to be the worst performing market with 2.0% depreciation with the markets of Bridgeport, Longview, Vineland, and Atlantic City forecast to have approximately 1.0% depreciation over the coming year.
“Unfortunately, the fundamentals of these markets remain static with flat or declining populations and relatively high unemployment rates,” Fox explains. “These factors contribute to a high housing supply with low demand that are unlikely to change anytime soon.”
“Some interesting trends are also emerging with this forecast. Parts of California are starting to see an uptick in forecast appreciation with top performing markets such as San Diego, San Jose, Los Angeles, and Sacramento expected to have appreciation from 7.5% to 8.0% which is up from 6.5% to 7.5% from the last update.” Fox continues, “Also, many Texas markets are softening with Dallas and Austin losing 1% in forecast appreciation since the last update.”